Vol. III,
Issue #1 - March 2015
**
Ray Murphy, Life at Baseball HQ
**
(In our last issue, in December of 2014, during our interview of
Matt Beagle, we introduced to our
readers one of the finest on-line Baseball websites and
information sites that caters to Fantasy Baseball,
called Baseball HQ, started by one of the leading baseball
analysts, Ron Shandler. The liason
person who helped us at Baseball HQ was their general admin
person Ray Murphy. He is here to
provide for our members more insights into Baseball HQ and how
it all got started ..... )
(Comments from the Wolfman: In
this interview, I not only talk to Ray about Baseball HQ but
also ask him some questions how he was able to get his job
working at Baseball HQ and his link to various fantasy baseball
games. Also if you missed Matt Beagle's interview, here
again is the free newsletter they offer which you can sign up
for, an offer made especially for all of our members, go to:
http://www.baseballhq.com/som. Also at the end of this
article is a link to our special page this month that does a
review on the yearly baseball guide done by Ron Shandler called
"Baseball Forecaster" which is a very special and comprehensive
baseball guide that is published through Baseball HQ which Ray
is also an editor for.)
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Wolfman:
As you may recall in our December issue (last year)
as a result of chatting with Matt Beagle, I also had
a chance last year to meet Ray Murphy who is the
main Administrator of BaseballHQ and has agreed to
do this interview with me for our members.
Just a quick note before we begin. BaseballHQ was
started by well known baseball analyst Ron Shandler
who is the author of "Baseball Forecaster" (now in
its 29th year of printing). Mr. Shandler has been
involved with Baseball Fantasy play and analyst
since 1985 and was one of the first to offer to the
public what we know today as sabermetrics of
baseball starting in 1986. Their website is at
baseballhq.com
and besides all the great information that is
offered on their site, you can also become a member
and have access not only to their comprehensive
newsletter but a great deal of additional in-depth
information about all aspects of MLB and Fantasy
Baseball. Although today we have many websites and
organizations now who are offering this type of
information and sharing of various type of articles
and stats linked to Baseball, if you just had one
site to pick as your main source, BaseballHQ
wouldn't disappoint you. We also would like to
thank Ray, for sharing a little bit about Ultimate
Strat to the members of BaseballHQ via their own
inner communiqués which brought us quite a few new
members..
Ray I would like to welcome you to the Ultimate
Strat Baseball Newsletter.
So according to your bio I read on BaseballHQ
besides being the GM there, you also are an avid
fantasy league player yourself who has won some
leagues. So when you were younger what was your
link with fantasy baseball and the game itself?
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Ray:
Funny enough, while I'm not a Strat guy
myself, my first fantasy baseball experience
as a kid was with Strat. My next-door
neighbor and I had the game; the only card
set we had was the 1981 season. We pulled
that season apart from top to bottom,
setting up tournaments, drafting All-Star
teams, etc. It was great fun. |
Wolfman:
Did you ever play in little league or on a high
school team? If so what was your best position?
Ray:
I was a catcher in little league, but never played
in high school. I like to blame that on a shoulder
injury, but the more honest answer is probably just
that I stunk.
Wolfman:
What (other) simulation baseball games have you
played? Why did you choose these games?
Ray:
As mentioned, my first introduction to sim games was
Strat. But I converted over to APBA (ducking a
lightning bolt) when a college friend brought me
into his APBA play-by-mail league. That's a great
league, it's got 24 teams and I've been a member for
20+ years. I actually just resigned from that league
this month, as I just couldn't keep up with the time
commitment. But that league and my experience in it
represent the best aspects of this hobby, in that
many of the guys have become my good friends. I'm
out of the league (for now at least), but the
relationships remain.
I'm also an avid Scoresheet player.... that's a
great little game that is a hybrid of Strat/APBA/DMB
style and in-season fantasy games: you make out a
lineup card and set rules like defensive subs, when
to bunt/steal, and pitcher removal rules; but you
receive results (in terms of box scores and
wins/losses) every week during the season.
Wolfman:
Since you have played Strat-o-matic Baseball before,
as you shared, is there any otherr comments we wish
to share about this sim game our members all play
and what you have learned about sim baseball from
the other similar games you have tried?
Ray:
I certainly know of Strat's leading status in the
marketplace, even though I haven't played a Strat
game in probably 25 years. What I've learned from
them is that, while the game engines themselves have
their differences, the team-building strategies in
any of those formats have a lot of overlap. For
instance, every winter Matt writes a couple of
articles for BaseballHQ analyzing the rookie draft
class, and that article always had a lot of
relevance to my own APBA draft prep. Over at
BaseballHQ, we have subscribers who play all of
these various sim formats. We have a great community
in our subscriber forums at HQ, and the sim players
there are always exchanging ideas and helping each
other out, even across game formats. Again, the
social aspect of these games is what makes them fun.
Wolfman:
Now how ever did you get to be the GM at BaseballHQ?
Did you know Mr. Shandler personally? What type of
person is Mr. Shandler like? How involved is he in
the direction or day-to-day activities at BaseballHQ?
Ray:
Oh sure, I know Ron pretty well. Ron hired me as a
writer for BaseballHQ.com in 1999. My
responsibilities grew over the years, and when Ron
sold the business and stepped back from day-to-day
management, I became co-General Manager. Brent
Hershey is the other co-GM, so we're responsible for
the day-to-day management of the site. Ron's still
heavily involved too... he's still the founder and
publisher, writes regularly for the web site, and
has the final edit on the Baseball Forecaster book.
So, we're sort of a three-headed monster.
Ron's a terrific guy; I've learned a ton from him
over the years. He's been incredibly successful in
building BaseballHQ into what it is today, that's a
credit to both his baseball knowledge and his
business savvy. He sets high standards for himself
and others, which is another big part of his
success. Brent and I are two people who are
basically trying to do the one job that Ron did by
himself for many years when he owned and ran the
site himself, and we can barely keep up with it all.
I have no idea how he did it himself for so long.
But he's always available and approachable, has a
great dry wit, and is always vulnerable to a good
dig at his Mets.
Wolfman:
I saw on your website you have quite a few writers
linked to BaseballHQ - how did you decide to go with
these writers? What are all the various types of
Fantasy Baseball Games discussed or covered on
BaseballHQ? What would you say Ray are the most
popular type of fantasy versions of Baseball right
now?
Ray:
We have a team of maybe 40-50 staffers... writers,
data analysts, editors, programmers, customer
service, etc. It's a veteran team; as I said, I go
back to 1999 with BHQ, and there are more than a
handful of guys on the staff who have been around
longer than me. We post job openings for specific
tasks as we need them, usually a couple every year.
We accept applications from anyone, but most of the
time we end up hiring from our subscriber base. The
subscribers "get us" and know what we're all about,
which generally leads to a better fit on both sides.
Rotisserie games are the most popular format these
days, especially mixed league formats. We try to
offer coverage of as many formats as possible,
though. Broadly, those break down into these
categories: Rotisserie, simulation, salary cap, and
the newly-emerging format of Daily Fantasy Sports.
There can be a bunch of variation in specific
leagues, but they generally fall into one of those
buckets.
Wolfman:
Do you think it is a good thing to link money to
winning a fantasy league?
Ray:
It's a great question; we could probably spend a
whole edition of your newsletter discussing this,
and peeling back the onion of the various layers
that go into answering this question. I think the
answer is a very personal one. Some people don't
care about money at all, they are entirely motivated
by winning bragging rights over their friends, or
content to win a trophy that has great sentimental
value but no monetary value. At the other end of the
spectrum, some people think monetary winnings are
the only scoreboard that matters.
So, really, I think what matters is to first
understand where you fall on that spectrum, and then
play with like-minded individuals. Personally, I
fall somewhere in the middle... my APBA league never
played for a dollar in prizes; my Scoresheet leagues
don't either. But I also play in the National
Fantasy Baseball Championship every year, where the
top prize is $125,000. I've come close to winning
that a couple of times, but take just as much pride
in succeeding in my no-prize-money leagues.
Wolfman:
Now tell our readers, what type of information does
Baseball HQ share that can help the fantasy player?
How does the information you share help our members
who might be in draft leagues or season replays?
Does the information shared on BaseballHQ only deal
with the most current season of MLB or do you also
share about seasons from the past?
Ray:
BaseballHQ's approach is based on component skills
analysis. You can read more about what that means
here (http://baseballhq.com/content/why-hq),
but basically what it comes down to is that we break
down a player's performance into it's basic
individual parts. When you analyze a player based on
their skills rather than their results, you get a
better idea as to whether that player's performance
is repeatable or not. We're very much an open
source, "teach you to fish" operation: our
statistical formulas are available on the site for
you to manipulate as you see fit. We give you the
tools to do your own analysis and reach your own
conclusions. But if you're in a hurry, we'll also
just give you the fish: our tools can be used to
generate player ranking lists in any number of
categories/formats, and our writers are always
publishing articles that "do the analysis for you",
making recommendations about individual players to
target or avoid.
All of our tools are geared toward the current
season, but certain features (for instance, our
Dynasty League strategy coverage, and our
comprehensive coverage of the minor leagues) take a
longer-term future view. In terms of past seasons,
our statistical database goes back to 2002, so there
is plenty you can do with that data too.
Wolfman:
Does BaseballHQ have any new future projects or
services it plans to come out with that will be
unique and different or would greatly benefit its
members?
Ray:
Always! Ron's philosophy has always been "to stand
still is to move backward", and we're still adhering
to that. We have a good feedback loop with our
subscribers, many of our enhancements come directly
from the minds of our readers. Sometimes the
improvements are incremental, and sometimes they're
a great leap forward. We have a web site facelift
coming soon, we have some new tools on the way that
are going to support those daily games I mentioned
earlier, and we have some new statistical tools that
we're rolling out soon as well. We're always trying
to push the bar upward.
Wolfman:
What Information or Services do you offer that other
baseball fantasy sites don't which makes your
service distinct from the others? What type of
information do you specialize in due to the link
with Mr. Shandler?
Ray:
Ron was the pioneer of component skills analysis, as
mentioned earlier. For a long time, we were the only
ones who even approached fantasy games with that
mindset, which was a huge advantage. In some ways,
it's harder now, because this approach has spread
all over the place now. So, now the challenge is to
keep finding the next edge, the next metric or
strategy that gives our subscribers an edge in
their league.
Wolfman:
How closely linked are you with your members and the
baseball fantasty and fan community in general?
Ray:
I alluded to our subscriber forums earlier; they're
perhaps the best part of our site. They are, without
exaggeration, the home of some of the best baseball
discussions on the internet. They're intelligent,
high-level, and entirely civil conversations about
everything to do with real baseball, fantasy
baseball, and our site. Our staffers hang out in
there quite a bit, directly interacting with our
readers. As I said earlier, that feedback loop is
incredibly beneficial to us.
In the larger fantasy community, we also have some
great relationships with other sites. Every
November, we host First Pitch Arizona (http://www.baseballhq.com/seminars/arizona.shtml),
which is a weekend symposium held at the Arizona
Fall League. It's an absolutely awesome weekend...
we catch 4-5 ballgames in three days, and hold
conference sessions in between the games. The
speakers and presenters aren't just from BaseballHQ;
we invite representatives from other sites and
providers, and everyone is an open book in
presenting their best ideas. It's the best weekend
of the year, I can't say enough good things about
it. (Mark your calendars: November 5-8, 2015.)
Wolfman:
What link do you have with Baseball Info Solutions
(we interviewed their President John Dewan last year
who is also a strat gamer)?
Ray:
BaseballHQ.com uses BIS as our stat provider, so we
have a close relationship with them. They do great
work, we have a terrific partnership.
Wolfman:
Does BaseballHQ have any close connections with MLB
itself? Does you site ever share interviews with
current or ex-MLB players?
We leave the
interviewing to other outlets, as we don't think
that player comments have a lot of relevance to our
analysis.
As far as connections with MLB, Ron and a few
BaseballHQ staffers spent a year as advisors to the
St. Louis Cardinals front office back in 2004. Ron
reportedly directly to Jeff Luhnow, who worked for
the Cardinals at the time. Of course, he is the
Astros' GM now.
Deric McKamey was our lead Minors analyst for many
years, now he is a scout for the Cardinals.
When we look at the distribution lists for our
Baseball Forecaster every year, there are always a
bunch of them being delivered to MLB Front Offices.
We write with a fantasy baseball focus, but our
tools and analysis are certainly applicable to the
actual game as well.
Wolfman:
Is there anything else you wish to share Ray either
about your own personal experiences with fantasy
baseball or about BaseballHQ that you think would be
important for our members to know that was not asked
before?
Ray:
I think our Cardinal Rules for Winners make for a
nice final reminder:
Our Three Cardinal Rules for Winners:
1. Revel in your success; fame is fleeting.
2. Exercise excruciating humility.
3. 100% of winnings must be spent on
significant others.
If you cherish this hobby, you will live by these
rules or die by them.
Wolfman:
If someone wanted to contact you directly would this
be possible and what is the best way for them to do
so.
Ray:
Twitter is probably the best way to contact me, my
handle there is @RayHQ
Wolfman:
Thank you Ray for taking time out of your schedule
to visit with us. Continued success at BaseballHQ
and if Mr. Shandler might ever consider to do an
interview himself, please let us know.
Ray:
Thanks for the invite, Wolfman!
(NOTES from the Wolfman:
Support the Cause
If you are enjoying
the content and information our newsletter shares with you, why
not support us with your helpful donation for our minor expenses
and time?
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Contained inside this exciting issue of Ultimate Strat
Baseball Newsletter:
(to view the various interviews, articles, columns and special sections click on
the links {underlined}
and this will take you to the appropriate
webpage)
♦
RETURN TO NEWSLETTER MAIN PAGE
♦
REPORT, "BILLY
SAMPLE CHALLENGE",
Ex-Major Leaguer Billy Sample accepts our challenge to play
Bryan Swank, one of our members in a best of 3 games series in
SOM as Billy takes the 1983 Texas Rangers, a team he was a
member of, verses Bryan's 1983 Red Sox. Read the full report,
which comes in three parts and also watch the video recorded by
Mark Wasserman.
♦
INTERVIEW with
JIM CALLIS,
Senior Writers MLBPipeline.com (MLB.com), as Jim discusses
his feeling about key young players who will be a factor in the
2015 MLB Season.
♦
INTERVIEW with SEAN
RILEY,
Strat Tournament Player's Club 2015 World's Champion
♦
INTERVIEW with JIM GARY,
Council Member of the Strat Tournament Player's Club, West
Region
♦
SOM BASEBALL WORLD NEWS with WOLFMAN SHAPIRO,
editor of "The Ultimate Strat Newsletter"
discusses the latest Baseball products offer by the
Strat-o-matic Game Company, Recommendations of on-line
Projection Systems for the performance of Major League Baseball
Players in the upcoming season, a summary of the recent new
Videos Ultimate Strat has released on their Youtube Video
Challenge and what is "The Bruce Foster Challenge" that is
underway.
♦
REVIEW OF KEY
BASEBALL PUBLICATIONS with WOLFMAN SHAPIRO
-- Wolfman gives to our member a review
of the latest strategy guides and books published which includes
"Bill James Handbook 2015" (Acta Sports with Baseball Info
Solutions); "Ron Shandler's 2015 Baseball Forecaster" (Baseball
HQ) and the "Rookie Review, 2015 Edition" (Stratogists.com).
♦
RECOMMEND
ON-LINE SOM RESOURCES
-- On-line Strat-o-matic and Baseball related websites
that offer amazing information, special tools and products to improve
your game play
that we strongly recommend. In most cases, we have had personal contact with
these sources who agree with the principle to work together and help promote each other.
♦
BOOKS TO
DIE FOR and Become a BASEBALL GURU
-- This page
is
specifically about special books we are finding that either will
expand your insights about the game of Baseball, help you in the
creation of your current league teams or with your replays and
learn more about the Strat-o-matic
Baseball Game and Game Company's
history. We
have a special arrangement with Acta Sports, who is a publisher
of a number of great baseball books (including Bill James
Handbooks) to offer for our members
a 10% discount. We will continue to add more books to this page in the future
as we uncover other gems our members should know about.
Contact Us for Questions or Submissions:
Wolfman Shapiro
Founder/Editor, the
Ultimate Strat Baseball Newsletter
email:
wolfman@ultimatestratbaseball.com
facebook:
www.facebook.com/wolfman.shapiro
twitter:
@StratBaseball4U
To Sign Up and Become a Member of this Newsletter
http://www.UltimateStratBaseball.com
(this provides direct emails when our bulletins
and next
issues come out)
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