Vol. V,
Issue #1 - January 2017
**
Matt Eddy Returns with the Top 10 Most Promising
Rookie Prospects You Should Know About
**
(Matt Eddy is a main writer and editor for Baseball America
which focuses upon
young prospect players as well as helps with the website and
blog of his Strat League)
(Comments from the Wolfman:
I want to welcome back our
contributing writer Matt Eddy with his latest special article
for our members, which is a very relevant one, dealing with
young prospects in MLB. It seems this month with the
release of the "2017 USBN Essential Draft Guide" and part II of
my article of ideas how to build your Keeper League Team linked
with the 2017 SOM Card set, our members are receiving many
recommendations how to prepare for their upcoming Drafts. As
stated above, Matt is one of the key writers for Baseball America,
who specializes in keeping track of the good young players
coming up. Each year they publish "Baseball America: Prospect
Handbook", which Matt of course assists with. Plus I see
Matt's name always mentioned on the reports shared on
http://www.mlbtraderumors.com as they quote him about minor
league player movement or which vets are signed to a minor
league contracts.
We did interview Matt in the
January issue of last year's newsletter (the link is below) and
he wrote another article in May of last year (also see below)
about how to prepare your roster for the playoffs. So you might
want to check these prior articles that we released.
http://www.ultimatestratbaseball.com/USBN-1-2016/MattEddy-January2016.htm
http://www.utlimatestratbaseball.com/USBN-5-2016/MattEddy-May2016.htm
Ok then, let's enjoy this new
article shared by Matt Eddy, are ya ready?)
Top Ten Most Promising Prospects You
Should
Pay Attention To
by Matt Eddy
( Wolfman's
Note
- Matt is discussing the prospects below
as being uncarded, which is how his Strat
Baseball League views them. But all of these
young players he mentions in the 2017 set do
get a computer image card because they did
play during the 2016 MLB Season. In the
league I play in, we considered them to be a
carded player that we can draft, although
they may not have enough ABs or IPs to be
used during our season. Anyway, they
are all very good rookie prospects ....)
It’s never too early to
begin preparing for your draft—even if that
means readying for the 2018 draft.
So if you play in Strat
league that prohibits the drafting of
uncarded players—as I do—you will want to
file the following names away for next
year’s draft.
When I carried out this
exercise a year ago I singled out Gary
Sanchez (No. 2), Max Kepler (No. 1) and Jose
Peraza (No. 6) as top uncarded prospects.
All three should go off the board inside the
top 30 picks in my league this year.
To add some heft to this
ranking, I attached scouting grades on the
traditional 20-80 scale to all 10 prospects.
These grades are based on actual 2016 minor
league performance and not the opinions of
scouts. In other words, these are not
projected future grades endorsed by the
baseball industry. They are mathematic
calculations in which 50 represents league
average and 60 is one standard deviation
above average and 70 is two standard
deviations above average, etc.
I graded position players by
batting average (hit), isolated slugging
(power) and a simplified speed score
(speed). I graded pitchers by strikeout rate
(whiffs), walk rate (walks) and home run
rate (homers). Average, isolated power and
home run rate are adjusted for home
ballpark.
-----------------
1. Yoan Moncada, 2B/3B, White Sox
Moncada went just 4-for-19
with 12 strikeouts during a September callup
with the Red Sox, but he has few rivals in
terms of physical ability, not to mention a
long list of credentials. The 21-year-old
Cuban claimed the Baseball America Minor
League Player of the Year award in 2016, for
a season he spent at high Class A Salem and
Double-A Portland. In 106 games overall
Moncada hit .294/.407/.511 with 15 home
runs, 37 doubles-plus-triples, 45 stolen
bases and 72 walks. Just don't expect him to
win any Gold Gloves.
The Red Sox traded Moncada
and three other prospects to the White Sox
for Chris Sale at the 2016 Winter Meetings.
Team |
(Lvl) |
PA |
Hit |
Power |
Speed |
Salem |
(HiA) |
284 |
60 |
60 |
75 |
Portland |
(AA) |
207 |
50 |
75 |
65 |
2. Jose De Leon, RHP, Rays
Batters saw the ball well
out of De Leon's hand during his first four
big league starts for the Dodgers. They lit
him up for 19 hits, including five home
runs, and a 6.35 ERA in 17 innings. However,
De Leon is coming off an historic strikeout
performance at Triple-A Oklahoma City, where
he fanned nearly 33 percent of batters while
working as a starter. Only a handful of
Triple-A starters have ever cleared 30
percent strikeouts in a season of 80 or more
innings.
The Rays acquired De Leon in
January when they traded Logan Forsythe to
the Dodgers.
Team |
(Lvl) |
IP |
Whiffs |
Walks |
Homers |
Okla. City |
(AAA) |
86 |
80 |
55 |
50 |
3. Lucas Giolito, RHP, White Sox
What happened to Giolioto's
fastball? This is the question the Nationals
no longer face after trading him and two
other prospects to the White Sox for Adam
Eaton at the 2016 Winter Meetings. Singled
out for the velocity and quality of his
fastball in the past, Giolito allowed a .350
average and near-1.200 OPS when throwing his
heater in the big leagues in 2016. Caveat:
He threw just 21 innings, and he does enough
other things well to remain interesting.
Team |
(Lvl) |
IP |
Whiffs |
Walks |
Homers |
Harrisburg |
(AA) |
71 |
60 |
35 |
70 |
Syracuse |
(AAA) |
37 |
65 |
50 |
50 |
4. David Paulino, RHP, Astros
Pilfered from the Tigers at
the 2013 trade deadline, Paulino had Tommy
John surgery soon after becoming Astros
property. Houston knew that was the case but
decided the wait was worth it. So far, so
good. Paulino shows remarkable control for a
6-foot-7 pitcher and he can miss bats with
three pitch types. The final hurdle for his
development is durability, for he has not
topped 100 innings in any pro season.
Team |
(Lvl) |
IP |
Whiffs |
Walks |
Homers |
Corp. Christi |
(AA) |
64 |
70 |
60 |
60 |
Fresno |
(AAA) |
14 |
75 |
40 |
60 |
5. Jorge Alfaro, C, Phillies
Alfaro's value is tied to
his strong arm behind the plate and
projected ability to hit about .260 with
15-20 home runs and very few walks. This
would make him more of a contributor than an
outright Strat star, but that's obviously
valuable behind the plate. Alfaro is a fast
runner for a catcher, so his big league
managers will fight the urge to run him into
the ground, a la Jason Kendall or the early
portion of J.T. Realmuto's career.
Team |
(Lvl) |
PA |
Hit |
Power |
Speed |
Reading |
(AA) |
435 |
60 |
50 |
50 |
6. Raimel Tapia, OF, Rockies
Rockies prospects play in
nice hitters' parks on their trek to Denver,
but even still Tapia stands out as a career
.317 hitter who has always been young for
his level. He also has plus wheels and good
range in center field. The lefthanded-batting
Tapia has areas to improve, such as walk
rate and stolen-base efficiency, but he
might wind up being vaguely reminiscent of
Juan Pierre.
Team |
(Lvl) |
PA |
Hit |
Power |
Speed |
Hartford |
(AA) |
457 |
70 |
45 |
65 |
Albuquerque |
(AAA) |
110 |
65 |
40 |
75 |
7. German Marquez, RHP, Rockies
The Rays don’t let many
promising young pitchers get away, but they
might have in the case of Marquez, a
22-year-old Venezuelan righthander. Tampa
Bay traded him to the Rockies following the
2015 season when the acquired Corey
Dickerson. Marquez throws a lot of strikes
and keeps the ball off the barrel very well
for a young power pitcher. His 4.35 ERA at
Triple-A Albuquerque was actually about 20
percent better than the Pacific Coast League
average after adjusting for ballpark.
Team |
(Lvl) |
IP |
Whiffs |
Walks |
Homers |
Hartford |
(AA) |
136 |
60 |
55 |
55 |
Albuquerque |
(AAA) |
31 |
60 |
60 |
40 |
8. Carson Kelly, C, Cardinals
The Cardinals drafted Kelly
as a third baseman in 2012 and converted him
to catcher after two pro seasons. He didn't
hit—at all—in 2014 or 2015 in Class A ball,
but an encouraging 2016 that included a
September callup validates St. Louis'
conversion plan. Kelly should be a
well-balanced, but not great, Strat option
at catcher.
Team |
(Lvl) |
PA |
Hit |
Power |
Speed |
Springfield |
(AA) |
236 |
65 |
45 |
40 |
Memphis |
(AAA) |
126 |
60 |
40 |
40 |
9. Jeimer Candelario, 3B, Cubs
A switch-hitting third
baseman who can defend the position and
throw, Canedlario offers a varied skill set
that includes a bit of everything except
speed. He won't have any place to call home
in the Cubs' crowded infield, so he would
certainly welcome a trade—as would whichever
Strat manager drafts him!
Team |
(Lvl) |
PA |
Hit |
Power |
Speed |
Tennessee |
(AA) |
244 |
40 |
55 |
45 |
Iowa |
(AAA) |
309 |
65 |
60 |
40 |
10. Carson Fulmer, RHP, White Sox
Forget Fulmer’s big league
debut. On second thought, ignore his entire
pro career up to this point. The White Sox
attempted their trademark rush job on
Fulmer, the second college righthander off
the board in the 2015 draft, but he wasn't
as ready as 2010 pick Chris Sale or 2014
pick Carlos Rodon to make an immediate
impact. That's OK. Baseball men still rave
about Fulmer's stuff and demeanor. Don't be
surprised if he succeeds David Robertson as
Chicago's closer.
Team |
(Lvl) |
IP |
Whiffs |
Walks |
Homers |
Birmingham |
(AA) |
87 |
60 |
35 |
45 |
Charlotte |
(AAA) |
16 |
55 |
50 |
60 |
(NOTES from the Wolfman:
We want to thank Matt for
contributing this special
article to help our members with
their upcoming league draft.
If anyone would like to chat
with Matt
about Strat or ask some
questions linked to this
article, feel free
to email him at:
)
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Contained inside this exciting issue of Ultimate Strat
Baseball Newsletter:
(to view the various interviews, articles, columns and special sections click on
the links {underlined}
and this will take you to the appropriate
webpage)
♦
RETURN TO NEWSLETTER MAIN PAGE
♦
ARTICLE with WOLFMAN
SHAPIRO - How to Setup Your Draft League Team, the Second Part
of this article,
Wolfman, continues his article from our last issue to share with
us the meat and potatoes of his strategies how to build his 2017
Skokie Wolfmen in the CBA, a computer league as he prepared for
this Keeper League's draft. By using his team as an
example, you may receive from this article so suggestions and
strategies to use for your own team.
♦
SOM Baseball
and MLB World News - January 2017,
This is our periodic column where we share any exciting news
and updates linked to either the SOM World or MLB. In this
issue, we first discuss the wide range of new and amazing
products (the Ratings Guide, the new mobile Apps, the new
seasons with printed cards and computer rosters, the 2017
edition of the computer game and more) that Strat-o-matic
will begin releasing on January 31st. Also we give a
report on the new champion of the Strat Tournament Player's
Club WORLDS tournament and discuss the enhanced new features
of Version 1.1 of the 2017 USBN Esseential Draft Guide.
♦
INTERVIEW with J.G. Preston, Baseball Writers Extraordinaire,
J.G. was one of our first guest to interview in the life of
our newsletter in January 2013. He used to work at the
game company when he was younger and for the Wolfman, he is
the person who gave him this name back in the 1970's.
J.G. has become a prolific baseball writer for SABR as well
as on his own blog site sharing histories of players and
insights about MLB. We ask J.G. what he is up to these days
as we believe our members might wish to read his writings.
But at heart, he is still a SOM Baseball gamer ...
♦
SOM BASEBALL LEAGUE REPORT with WOLFMAN SHAPIRO
--
the editor of "The Ultimate Strat Newsletter" and 2012 CBA
Champion, turns his attention to talk to members of various
face-to-face
Strat-o-matic
Baseball Leagues that he has discovered through the league
registry service offered on the Strat-o-matric
website. Each commission speaks about
the history of their league and their experiences. To read these interviews, click on the links below:
INTERVIEW with
KEVIN THOMAS, Commissioner of CAABL
(Face-to-Face)
INTERVIEW with RYAN
MORRIS, Commissioner of Dave Cash League
(Face-to-Face)
♦
ARTICLE with CHUCK TINKLER,
Chuck is one of our most popular contributors and is back with a
new article for his column, "The Chuck Stop", as he
continues his article he calls "Old Guys Rule" with
Part II.
This article deals with the value of a 1st round draft and more - Chuck
always entertains our readers with his insightful and colorful
stories and experiences - check his new article out now!
♦
INTERVIEW with EARL REED,
Earl is the head of his own Youtube Strat Baseball Channel
called Tenacious Strat, of which a few of his videos have
appeared on the USBN Youtube channel. We interview Earl to find
out more about his video channel and how he became interested in
Strat Baseball.
♦
RECOMMEND
ON-LINE SOM RESOURCES
--
On-line Strat-o-matic and Baseball related websites
that offer amazing information, special tools and products to improve
your game play
that we strongly recommend. In most cases, we have had personal contact with
these sources who agree with the principle to work together and help promote each other.
♦
BOOKS TO
DIE FOR and Become a BASEBALL GURU
-- This page
is
specifically about special books we are finding that either will
expand your insights about the game of Baseball, help you in the
creation of your current league teams or with your replays and
learn more about the Strat-o-matic
Baseball Game and Game Company's
history. We
have a special arrangement with Acta Sports, who is a publisher
of a number of great baseball books (including Bill James
Handbooks) to offer for our members
a 10% discount. We will continue to add more books to this page in the future
as we uncover other gems our members should know about.
Contact Us for Questions or Submissions:
Wolfman Shapiro
Founder/Editor, the
Ultimate Strat Baseball Newsletter
email:
wolfman@ultimatestratbaseball.com
facebook:
www.facebook.com/wolfman.shapiro
twitter:
@StratBaseball4U
To Sign Up and Become a Member of this Newsletter
http://www.UltimateStratBaseball.com
(this provides direct emails when our bulletins
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issues come out)
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